DraftKings CASH POOL | NFL Week 11

NFL Week 11 Cash Pool: Below are the players that I consider to be viable plays on DraftKings in Cash Games (H2H, Double-Ups, 50/50s). This article is updated throughout the weekend with a final update at 12:00 PM EST on Sunday to account for surprise inactives and late-week news.

Updates:

In: Taysom Hill, PJ Walker, Diontae Johnson  

Out: Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas, Miles Sanders, D’Andre Swift, Kenny Golladay, Jameis Winston, PJ Walker, Michael Gallup, Denzel Mims   

QB

Lamar Jackson ($7,300): On a slate without Kyler Murray, Russell Wilson, Patrick Mahomes, or Josh Allen: Lamar Jackson’s likelihood of finishing as the QB1 on the week is the highest it’s been all year. Jackson’s fantasy production has predictably regressed following his record-breaking 2019 season, but he remains a high-ceiling option with an enticing rushing floor; Jackson has rushed 7 or more times in 8/9 games this season and has averaged 12.25 rush/att per-game over his last four. The Ravens have the third-highest implied team total (27.25) on the slate and will be looking for redemption against a Titans team that ousted them from the playoffs in January.

Taysom Hill ($4,800): According to reports from Adam Schefter and Dianna Russini, not only will Taysom Hill start at quarterback for The Saints this week, but Jameis Winston will operate solely as the backup and have no pre-planned role in the offense for Week 11. Hill has been nothing more than a thorn in the side of fantasy players up to this point in his career, but will get the chance this week to prove to the public that he is worth the $21 million dollar extension that the Saints gave him this offseason. Hill has completed only 11 pass attempts in the NFL, but his ability as a rusher will immediately catapult him to the top of projection models as an incredible pt/$ play on DraftKings this week. Hill rushed the ball on 5/7 snaps that he took at QB in Week 10. UPDATE: Sean Payton has disputed claims that he has named a starter for Week 11.      

PJ Walker ($4,800): I’m expecting Taysom Hill to play the majority of the game for The Saints. However, there is legitimate risk and PJ Walker is a safer bet to start the full game for Carolina. Walker draws a soft matchup against The Lions and the former XFL MVP has longstanding chemistry with Matt Rhule’s scheme and with Panthers WR1 Robby Anderson.  

QB Positional Notes: After several hours of thought following ESPN’s reporting of the Saints QB situation, I had all-but convinced myself that I was ready to plug Taysom Hill into my cash lineup this week. Sean Payton has since come out and disputed reports that a starter has been named. Hill’s rushing upside at $4,800 would be too good to pass up, but fear of a timeshare with The Blind Bomber is a legitimate concern. PJ Walker would be an easy 1-1 substitution if Teddy Bridgewater gets ruled out. The Panthers and Saints both play at 1 p.m., so we should have clarity on both situations in time to make Sunday morning decisions.    

RB

Dalvin Cook ($9,000): Playing like the best back in football, Dalvin Cook is poised to feast on a Dallas team that will undoubtedly struggle to contain him. Since returning from injury in Week 8, Cook has averaged 30 touches per-game and 36.3 FPPG. The Vikings are favored by a touchdown (-7) at home and have the fourth-highest ITT on the slate (27.25). Cook is the best RB play on the board.

Kalen Ballage ($5,600): The ultimate test in bias control, Kalen Ballage is profiling as one of the strongest plays at RB in Week 11. Chargers HC Anthony Lynn described Ballage as the team’s “primary back,” on Wednesday, and has used him as such in recent weeks. Ballage has averaged 20 touches per-game over the last two weeks and draws a top-10 home matchup against a pathetic Jets team that the Chargers are massively favored over (-9.5).   

Giovani Bernard ($5,500): With Joe Mixon once again ruled out, The Mustached Maven will once again start for The Bengals. Bernard has started three games for Cincinnati in place of Mixon and seen touch counts of 18, 18, and 12 with an average snap share of 69%.  

J.D. McKissic ($5,200): Equipped with the best target-per-dollar projection on the entire slate, Alex Smith’s go-to weapon is worth consideration as a floor-play in Week 11. J.D. McKissic has led the Washington Football Team in targets and receptions since Alex Smith took over as starting quarterback. Averaging 14.5 targets and a 76.5% snap share over the last two weeks, McKissic should remain a high-floor play on a weekly basis, ROS.

RB Positional Notes: Dalvin Cook is an easy lock. While Alvin Kamara’s absence from this list is noticeable, the question marks surrounding what this New Orleans offense will look like on Sunday; combined with the exorbitant price for what is ultimately not enough touches, has made Kamara a Week 11 cash fade for me. I may be on an island with this take, but I prefer Kalen Ballage to Giovani Bernard and Antonio Gibson in the midrange.   

WR

Keenan Allen ($7,400): After seeing >10 targets for only the second time since Week 2, Keenan Allen finds himself in a phenomenal bounce back spot against The Jets in Week 11. Allen will sleep easy on Saturday knowing that what awaits him on gameday is a weak zone scheme on a defense that has lost its starting slot CB to I.R. Allen has been targeted by Justin Herbert  34-more times than the next closest Chargers pass catcher and should continue to soak up looks from the talented rookie passer.

Terry McLaurin ($6,900): One of nine teams allowing over 40 FPPG to opposing WRs, Cincinnati’s secondary will be hard-pressed to slow down the electric Terry McLaurin. Much like an early-career DeAndre Hopkins, Terry McLaurin’s immense talent has been enough to overcome consistently volatile quarterback play. McLaurin is an opportunity machine; He’s averaging the fourth-most targets per-game (9.6) and the highest share of air yards in the entire league (41.6%).  

Justin Jefferson ($6,000): Becoming a household name before our very eyes, Justin Jefferson is accurately being recognized as one of the greatest rookie WRs of all time. Jefferson’s league-leading yards-per-route-run (3.23) and dominant 14.4 yards-per-target average make him a threat to break the slate every single week. That being said, since Jefferson became a full time player in Week 3, he’s produced an equal amount of games with over 24 fantasy points as he has games with under 10 fantasy points.   

Diontae Johnson ($5,900): Despite potentially having bones made of glass, Diontae Johnson has strung together back-to-back full games and continues to operate as a target sponge for Ben Roethlisberger when healthy. The versatile sophomore receiver has seen 10+ targets in 5/6 games that he played on 75% or more of snaps. The Steelers have the highest ITT on the slate (28.25).

Jakobi Meyers ($4,900): Wildly underpriced at $4,900, Jakobi Meyers is the best value at WR in Week 11. Since emerging as The Patriots WR1 three weeks ago, Meyers has had a 38.9% target share or greater. He’s averaged 10.3 targets per-game, 6.8 receptions per-game, and 86.5 yards per-game. Cam Newton will continue to rely on the only Patriots wide receiver playing at an NFL level this season.  

Jalen Reagor ($4,300): The Eagles came out of their bye in Week 10 with a clear focus on getting Jalen Reagor more involved in the offense. Reagor led the team in WR snaps (88%), targets (7), and percentage of team air yards (29%). DraftKings has not yet adjusted his price to reflect his current role. The Browns are allowing the sixth most FPPG to opposing WRs.  

WR Positional Notes: After originally considering Michael Gallup ($3,700) and Denzel Mims ($3,300) as viable >4k salary savers, I’ve decided that Jalen Reagor is the lowest I feel comfortable going in cash this week. Jakobi Meyers is a standout play and if possible, I would like to jam both Allen and McLaurin into my cash lineup. If only one fits, McLaurin is my preferred play.  

TE

Mark Andrews ($4,900): Despite being the highest-priced tight end on DraftKings this week, Mark Andrews remains affordable. On a slate without Travis Kelce and Darren Waller, Andrews has the highest upside at the position this week. Andrews has the highest market share of team Air Yards at TE in 2020 (24%) and has seen the fifth-most red zone targets (12) and third-most red zone completions (9) at the position.   

Hayden Hurst ($4,400): Playing Hayden Hurst is the cheapest way to get exposure to one of the only two games with a total above 50 (50.5) on the Week 11 main slate. While it’s hard to predict where the ball will go in this game, particularly on the Saints side, Hurst at least offers a strong mix of consistency and scoring potential. Hurst has scored double-digit fantasy points in four straight games and seen 7 or more targets in three consecutive games.

Dallas Goedert ($3,800): After disappointing as chalk last week, Dallas Goedert will once again be in play in Week 11. The Browns have allowed the fourth-most receptions per-game to opposing TEs and Goedert’s upside has not been baked into his results-based low price.   

Logan Thomas ($3,300): Since Alex Smith took over in Washington, Logan Thomas has been targeted at the third highest rate behind J.D. McKissic and Terry McLaurin. Thomas draws a strong matchup this week, The Bengals have allowed the second-most FPPG to opposing TEs this season. His cheap price makes him viable in what is set up to be yet another wash at fantasy’s lowest wattage position.  

TE Positional Notes: I don’t have a strong feel for TE this week. Due to the overall capped upside of the position, especially in a week without Kelce or Waller, the most important thing to consider when selecting TE in Week 11 will be price. None of these players will be cash game priorities. Ranked in terms of upside: Andrews, Goedert, Hurst, Thomas.

Priority Plays: Dalvin Cook, Terry McLaurin, Jakobi Meyers   

Fades: Alvin Kamara, Julio Jones, Michael Thomas, Antonio Gibson  

Cash Game Results 2020:

Week 1: 185.1 Points. 87% Win Rate (83.3% of 78 H2Hs, 100% of 22 DUs)

Week 2: 161.9 Points. 91.3% Win Rate (90.3% of 103 H2Hs, 100% of 12 DUs)

Week 3: 112.1 Points. 17.7% Win Rate (21% of 119 H2Hs, 0% of 22 DUs)

Week 4: 139.50 Points. 81% Win Rate (77.9% of 104 H2Hs, 100% of 17 DUs)

Week 5: 143.68 Points. 31.1% Win Rate (35.9% of 103 H2Hs, 0% of 16 DUs)

Week 6: 138.12 Points. 32.45% Win Rate (35.9% of 103 H2Hs, 0% of 11 DUs)

Week 7: 199.40 Points. 37.5% Win Rate (32.5 % H2Hs, 91.6% of 12 DUs)

Week 8: 112.66 Points.55.5% Win Rate (61.9% of 105 H2Hs, 0% of 12 DUs)

Week 9: 162.60 Points. 97% Win Rate (95.7% of 119 H2Hs, 100% of 11 DUs)

Week 10: 94.10 Points. 2.2% Win Rate (4% of 119 H2Hs, 0% of 12 DUs).  

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