DraftKings CASH POOL | NFL Week 10

NFL Week 10 Cash Pool: Below are the players that I consider to be viable plays on DraftKings in Cash Games (H2H, Double-Ups, 50/50s). This article is updated throughout the weekend with a final update at 12:00 PM EST on Sunday to account for surprise inactives and late-week news.

Updates:

In: Miles Sanders, DeVante Parker  

Out: Justin Herbert, Brandin Cooks, Austin Hooper   

QB

Kyler Murray ($8,000): Kyler Murray is fantasy football’s number one asset. Through eight games, Murray is averaging 9.5 rushing attempts per-game, 67.8 rushing yards per-game, and one rushing touchdown per-game. On pace to produce more fantasy points on the ground in 2020 than Lamar Jackson did in 2019, it’s hard to argue that Murray isn’t a cash game lock in Week 10. He’s produced over 30 DraftKings points in half of his games played, and scored no less than 24-points in any game this year. The Cardinals are home favorites (-2.5) in a projected shootout with The Bills in Week 10’s highest totaled game (56).

Deshaun Watson ($6,900): The Texans have a surprisingly low implied team total (21.75) for a team that shouldn’t struggle to find success in Week 10’s road matchup with The Browns. The $1,100 discount off of Murray makes Watson an intriguing pivot. Watson has averaged an incredible 29.06 FPPG since the Texans fired Bill O’Brian. Watson has managed to hit the 300-yard bonus on DraftKings in four of his five last games; Cleveland is allowing the ninth most passing yards per-game to opposing quarterbacks this season. Update: This game is beginning to become a weather concern with a high wind projection. Check the weather on Sunday morning before plugging Watson into lineups.    

QB Positional Notes: With Watson’s viability taking a hit due to concerns of extreme wind in Cleveland, Kyler Murray is becoming an even more pressing priority in cash games. While players like Russell Wilson and Josh Allen are certainly strong plays, Murray’s boosted rushing floor is a clear differentiator. If I’m paying $7,500+ for a QB this week, it will be for Kyler Murray.     

RB

Aaron Jones ($7,100): Despite the expectation that he would be “limited,” in his return to action last week, Aaron Jones played on <60% of snaps for only the second time all season in Week 9. With Jamaal Williams returning from the COVID list, Jones is more likely to see 50-55% of snaps than <60%. It’s also worth noting that weather concerns have dropped this game’s total below 50 (49), and The Packers ITT has fallen to 31.25 (-2.5). A game that is heavily impacted by wind could end up being beneficial for Jones if offensive production needs to come through the running game instead of the passing game. The Packers are massive home favorites (-13.5) and remain the only team with an implied total above 30 on the slate.      

Miles Sanders ($6,400): On Friday, Miles Sanders proclaimed himself “fully healthy.” The most consistent edge over the last month of NFL DFS has been fading the public’s fear of playing star running backs in their first game returning from injury. Sanders logged back-to-back full practices on Thursday and Friday and should see 18+ touches against a Giants defense that is allowing sixth most receptions and eleventh most FPPG to opposing RBs.   

Duke Johnson ($5,000): With David Johnson battling a concussion, Duke Johnson will finally get the chance that fantasy Twitter has long been waiting for. Duke Johnson projects to see the vast majority of work in the backfield for Houston in Week 10 with C.J. Prosise and Buddy Howell likely to be the only other active running backs. Duke had a career high 16-attempts last week and should maintain his role in the receiving game; He’s caught 9/9 targets over the past two games. It’s also a #RevengeGame. Johnson was criminally underutilized for the first four years of his career in Cleveland.  

Mike Davis ($4,000): Christian McCaffrey won’t play this week. DraftKings inexplicably decided to drop Mike Davis down to the minimum price this week, despite Davis having maintained a role in the passing game even after CMC’s return. The egregious misprice will result in Mike Davis being the highest owned player we’ve seen on DK this year. Strictly in terms of cash games, you either play Mike Davis or you’re part of the rake.

RB Positional Notes: DraftKings picked a good week to change their 2020 standard practice of pricing up backup running backs. Mike Davis is a stone cold lock and Duke Johnson isn’t far off. Deciding between Aaron Jones (more upside) and Miles Sanders (better usage), will be one of the more difficult decision points on an otherwise easy to figure out week. For the first time in 2020, I wouldn’t consider a 3 RB build essential for DK cash games.   

WR

Davante Adams ($9,000): While fading high-priced, chalky wide receivers is often the right play in DFS due to the position’s volatility, Davante Adams does not qualify as a “volatile,” player. Adams has seen 10+ targets in every full game he’s played. He’s scored over 30 DraftKings points in three consecutive games and is leading the NFL in red zone targets and completions, despite having only played six games. Adams is a monster play, but $9,000 is a lot to pay for any WR on DK.

Keenan Allen ($7,100): In six full games played, Keenan Allen is averaging 12.5-targets per-game. Since Justin Herbert took over as starter, Allen has seen 32 more targets than the next closest Chargers skill-player. His elite usage makes him a plug-and-play matchup-proof WR1 every single week.   

Cooper Kupp ($6,900): The Seahawks defense is historically bad against the pass, allowing nearly 60 FPPG to the WR position. While percentage of team-targets and average targets-per-game numbers will highly favor Cooper Kupp > Robert Woods, it’s worth noting that Kupp saw 20-targets in Week 8 and prior to that, was only seeing 0.71 more targets-per-game than Woods in Weeks 1-7. Cooper Kupp is the best raw play of the three cash-viable Rams WRs in Week 10.

Terry McLaurin ($6,800): As expected prior to the season, Terry McLaurin has been a volume machine in 2020. F1 leads the NFL in percentage of team Air Yards with a massive 49.75% share. He’s seen the fourth most targets-per-game in the league (9.6) and should continue to dominate passing game opportunities against The Lions this week. The only red flag with McLaurin is that he will be catching passes from the third quarterback to start a game for The Washington Football team this season.

Robert Woods ($6,600): As referenced above, Cooper Kupp is the preferred Rams WR for cash games in this price range. However, if the $300 salary difference between them becomes important, Woods is a fine pivot. Ever-consistent, Woods has seen nine-or-more opportunities in three consecutive weeks and offers the most touchdown upside in the Rams passing attack.

DeVante Parker ($5,000): Preston Williams has been sent to I.R. and the doors have once again opened for DeVante Parker to absorb a massive share of The Dolphins receiving work. Williams missed the second half of 2019 and from Weeks 10-16: Parker averaged 9.4-targets per-game and produced more than 110 receiving yards in 4/7 games. I think Parker is a better pt/$ play at $5,000, than Jakeem Grant is at $3,000.

Josh Reynolds ($3,500): If this were any other week, Josh Reynolds might be widely considered the best value play at WR on the slate. Reynolds has seen no-less than 72% of snaps for The Rams over their last four games. Reynolds has seen 17-targets over his last two, and has far and away the best matchup on the board.  

WR Positional Notes: The WR position is absolutely loaded in Week 10. We have an elite pay-up option in Davante Adams. We have a loaded mid-range in Allen, Kupp, McLaurin, Woods, and Lockett. In the 5Ks, Jeudy, Cooks, and Parker all project well. There is even strong value with Josh Reynolds. At the time of writing this article (Friday afternoon), I’m confident in my stance that the optimal build for cash games will be balanced, rather than a stars and scrubs approach.    

TE

Evan Engram ($4,500): Evan Engram has developed into a true volume monster, seeing 29-targets and three attempts over the past three weeks. In Week 10, Engram draws the nut matchup. The Eagles have allowed the most receptions and the fourth most FPPG to opposing TEs this year. Engram’s potential scoring upside will remain capped for as long as bonafide scrub Daniel Jones is throwing him the ball.   

Dallas Goedert ($4,200): The Eagles offense is the healthiest it’s been all year following their Week 9 bye. Dallas Goedert should return to an every-down role with Zach Ertz sidelined, but will have to contend for targets with Travis Fulgham, Jalen Reagor, Alshon Jeffery, Miles Sanders, and Greg Ward. Still, he’s projecting well and having a salary that fits the cash build has been the most important trait for cash game TEs on DraftKings in what has been yet another abysmal year for the position.  

Jacob Hollister ($2,600): In Week 9, Jacob Hollister led the Seahawks TEs in snap-share (48%) for the first time this season. He managed to produce a serviceable 5-60-0 line on 7-targets. It remains to be seen whether or not Hollister will see his role continue to grow, but The Seahawks offense is best when he’s on the field over Will Dissly and Greg Olsen. Hollister is a low-floor punt-play with decent positional upside in one of the league’s best offenses.

TE Positional Notes: I’m never opposed to the idea of punting at TE and Hollister is a strong punt. That being said, I prefer the Engram/Goedert tier. Engram is arguably the safest bet for volume at the position this week and drawing the nut matchup is only a boost to his value. The DFS Dose is firmly on team #NEVERPAYUP when it comes to TE. Waller is not in consideration for cash this week, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him be 15-20% owned in large-field Double-Ups.     

Priority Plays: Kyler Murray, Duke Johnson, Mike Davis, Minimum 1 Rams WR.    

Fades: Alvin Kamara, Tyler Lockett, Darren Waller, Jakeem Grant, Chris Conley  

Cash Game Results 2020:

Week 1: 185.1 Points. 87% Win Rate (83.3% of 78 H2Hs, 100% of 22 DUs)

Week 2: 161.9 Points. 91.3% Win Rate (90.3% of 103 H2Hs, 100% of 12 DUs)

Week 3: 112.1 Points. 17.7% Win Rate (21% of 119 H2Hs, 0% of 22 DUs)

Week 4: 139.50 Points. 81% Win Rate (77.9% of 104 H2Hs, 100% of 17 DUs)

Week 5: 143.68 Points. 31.1% Win Rate (35.9% of 103 H2Hs, 0% of 16 DUs)

Week 6: 138.12 Points. 32.45% Win Rate (35.9% of 103 H2Hs, 0% of 11 DUs)

Week 7: 199.40 Points. 37.5% Win Rate (32.5 % H2Hs, 91.6% of 12 DUs)

Week 8: 112.66 Points.55.5% Win Rate (61.9% of 105 H2Hs, 0% of 12 DUs)

Week 9: 162.60 Points. 97% Win Rate (95.7% of 119 H2Hs, 100% of 11 DUs)

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