DraftKings CASH POOL | NFL Week 8

NFL Week 8 Cash Pool: Below are the players that I consider to be viable plays on DraftKings in Cash Games (H2H, Double-Ups, 50/50s). This article is updated throughout the weekend with a final update at 12:00 PM EST on Sunday to account for surprise inactives and late-week news.

Updates:

In: Denzel Mims, (R.Wilson added to Priority Plays)

Out: Jimmy Garoppolo, Dalvin Cook

QB

Russell Wilson ($7,800): Paying nearly 8K for a quarterback on DraftKings is almost never ideal. However, if any QB is worth it – it’s MVP front-runner Russell Wilson. Mr. Unlimited has had a 25-point fantasy floor on DK to start the year and a massive ceiling, scoring over 34 fantasy points in 4/6 games. Injuries to the entire Seattle backfield could force Wilson and The Seahawks into a pass-heavy plan of attack for Week 8’s showdown with the rival 49ers. The 49ers defense has allowed the ninth-fewest FPPG to QB, but has faced below-average passers in 4/6 of their last games. Wilson is fully matchup proof and the lack of cash-viable plays on the slate will make him a popular option.

Joe Burrow ($6,200): Leading the NFL in pass attempts, volume should be enough to sustain Joe Burrow’s fantasy production in Week 8. The talented rookie has produced less than 19 fantasy points in only one game over his last six matchups. However, concerns about The Bengals offense as a whole are mounting. CIN will be without three of their five starting offensive linemen in a game that could quickly spin out of control.

QB Positional Notes: Many people will play Jimmy Garoppolo in cash this week. I won’t be one of them. Even in a great matchup, a road underdog QB who has scored over 20 fantasy points only once in 2020 is an easy fade for me. Burrow is becoming a shakier play by the day and concerns surrounding his o-line are legitimate. I am not sure how possible it will be to pay up for Wilson this week, but I think it is worth trying to find a way.       

RB

Alvin Kamara ($8,200): Michael Thomas has once again been ruled out. Fill-in WR Marquez Callaway, who has seen 16-targets over the last two weeks, will also miss Week 8. The Bears have been successful in limiting opposing RB production all year. This is a tough spot for The Saints offense on the road in a low-totaled game (43.5). Still, Kamara’s incredible role as a receiver out of the backfield (8.8 t/pg) will keep his floor high enough to justify cash consideration at any price, in any matchup as long as Michael Thomas remains out.  

Dalvin Cook ($7,500): Despite being listed as questionable for Sunday’s action, Dalvin Cook appears on track to return to the field and handle his full workload following The Vikings bye. The Packers have allowed the most FPPG to RB in 2020. This game is one of three games with weather concerns revolving around extreme wind, which could push both offenses into even more run-heavy approaches than usual. Update: As much as I like Cook to bounce back this week, this is a road underdog RB (+6) that is coming off injury, playing The Packers for the second time this year. I’ve removed him from the cash pool, but will have exposure in tournaments.   

Kareem Hunt ($6,900): Bordering on lock status, Kareem Hunt is a home favorite in a game with a 50.5 point total. Due to concerns over extreme wind, the total has dropped a full 5-points since open. While the forecast is likely to reduce the production of the pass game, if anything, that should push more work towards the running backs. Hunt played on a season-high 90% of snaps last week. The Raiders have allowed the second-most FPPG to RB this season.

Jamaal Williams ($6,100): After missing practice all week, Aaron Jones was ruled out on Friday and will miss The Packer’s Week 8 matchup vs. Minnesota. Jamaal Williams played on 89% of snaps in Week 7, a larger share than Aaron Jones has seen all year. He carried the ball 19-times and caught 4/5 targets. Despite the $2,100 price bump Williams saw this week, his workhorse role appears secure in a home matchup where Green Bay is favored by -6 and extreme wind could push even more work to the ground game.

Giovani Bernard ($5,800): Joe Mixon has been ruled out this week, leaving Giovani Bernard in position to handle the bulk of touches for Cincinnati’s backfield. Bernard played on 76% of snaps in the starting role last week. He was inefficient on the ground, averaging 2.8 YPC for 37 yards on 13 touches, but was able to remain fantasy productive by catching 5/5 targets for 59-yards and a touchdown. He is an unexcited high-floor play with a questionable ceiling.  

Myles Gaskin ($5,200): Quietly averaging the eighth-most running back targets-per-game (4.8), Gaskin is a standout play at only $5,200. Following the bye-week decision to turn the offense over to Tua Tagovailoa, expect The Dolphins to lean on Gaskin to take the pressure off of their soon-to-be star rookie passer.      

RB Positional Notes: There are a lot of different ways to go at RB this week. Kareem Hunt and Jamaal Williams will be priority plays with several options in-play for RB3. I prefer Myles Gaskin > Giovani Bernard straight up as a pay-down option. I’m not mad at people considering Derrick Henry for cash this week, but Alvin Kamara’s elite usage as a receiver is too good to pass up if we are paying $8,000 or more for a RB in cash.

WR

Davante Adams ($8,800): Coming off of a career 13-192-2 performance on a whopping 16 targets, Davante Adams will look to stay hot against a Vikings team that he has dropped 44.6 fantasy points on once this year already. Adams was unstoppable last week and Minnesota’s secondary lacks the personnel to limit a player of his caliber. While high-priced, chalky WRs make for the best fades in DFS, Adams will be an extremely scary player to leave out of your lineups this week.  

Tyler Lockett ($7,100): The thought of playing Tyler Lockett one week after his 15-200-3 eruption against The Cardinals feels like the exact definition of chasing points. Still, SEA vs. SF is one of the few high-totaled games that will be likely be unaffected by the extreme weather conditions that are expected to ravage the league on Sunday.

AJ Brown ($6,900): Thursday’s missed practice appeared to be scheduled maintenance for Tennessee’s second-year stud WR. AJ Brown has averaged 8 targets-per-game this season and draws a Week 8 matchup against a Bengals secondary that has routinely been dusted by lesser players. The Titans have the second-highest implied team total on the slate (52.5).   

Keenan Allen ($6,200): Until DraftKings does something about his price, Keenan Allen will remain a priority play in cash games on a weekly basis. Removing the Week 5 game where he left early due to injury, Allen is averaging 12.2 targets-per-game, most in the NFL. He’s seen over 13 targets-per-game in the last 4 full games he’s played. He is the apple of Justin Herbert’s eye. The Broncos are a middle of the road defense against WR, but Allen’s elite route running, versatility to lineup anywhere in the formation, and monstrous target share, make him a matchup proof must-play at his current price.

Brandon Aiyuk ($5,800): With Deebo Samuel out, Brandon Aiyuk will play the role of San Francisco’s WR1 against Seattle. Aiyuk has been heavily involved in the 49ers offense all year, playing on 72% of snaps or more in every game and 85% or more in 3/6. He profiles as more of a boom-bust option with a floor that typically, would prevent him from being written up in this article. He is not a must-play, but the matchup is too good to ignore. The Seattle defense bleeds production to WR, allowing a league-high 60.23 FPPG to the position.      

AJ Green ($4,500): The King of Dust may be making a resurgence. Over the last two weeks, AJ Green has seen 24-targets and is vastly underpriced for his opportunity. No team has surrendered more points to WR on a per-game basis over the last 4-weeks than The Titans.

Rashard Higgins ($4,200): With the loss of Odell Beckham Jr., Rashard Higgins is slated for a major role in Cleveland’s offense. Higgins played a career-high 85% of snaps last week and capitalized on the opportunity, producing 6 receptions for 110-yards. I considered Higgins the best value at WR on the slate prior to the concerns of extreme wind in this game.   

Denzel Mims ($3,200): Priced $200 above the minimum, Denzel Mims is a punt-play that grants you a high level of flexibility in your cash game lineup construction. In his first NFL game, Mims commanded 32% of The Jets targets. Breshad Perriman has been ruled out and Jamison Crowder appears unlikely to play. The Jets are massive underdogs (-19.5!!!) and figure to be throwing the ball all game long. Mims is a low-floor gamble with enough talent in a good enough game script to win you the week if you’re comfortable rolling the dice.

WR Positional Notes: After several weeks of having a loaded mid-range at WR on DraftKings, this week is slim pickings. Keenan Allen stands out, but after that, every player feels like settling for someone I’d rather not play. I don’t think the correct way to utilize salary is paying up for Adams/Lockett. My goal this week will be to find two strong WRs with secure target shares at lower prices to mix into my core with Allen.

TE

Jonnu Smith ($4,100): There isn’t much of a decision to be made here. Jonnu Smith is underpriced at $4,100. Hampered by an ankle injury that has limited him to 6 targets over his last two games, look for Smith to get more involved after not appearing on the Week 8 injury report. Through the first four weeks of the season, Smith averaged 6.75 targets-per-game. He had an 11-point floor and scored 5 touchdowns in Weeks 1-4.  Over the past four weeks, The Bengals have allowed a league-leading 22.75 FPPG to TE; Over 3 full points more than the next closest team. Smith should be the start point and end point of your cash game decision for TE this week.

TE Positional Notes: Jonnu FTW! The floor is essentially low for every player at this position, but Smith will have a hard time busting in this spot. He’s underpriced, and his ceiling is as high as any TE in the league.  

Priority Plays: Russell Wilson Kareem Hunt, Keenan Allen, Jamaal Williams, Jonnu Smith

Fades: Davante Adams, Tyler Lockett, Giovani Bernard, Jimmy Garoppolo

Cash Game Results 2020:

Week 1: 185.1 Points. 87% Win Rate (83.3% of 78 H2Hs, 100% of 22 DUs)

Week 2: 161.9 Points. 91.3% Win Rate (90.3% of 103 H2Hs, 100% of 12 DUs)

Week 3: 112.1 Points. 17.7% Win Rate (21% of 119 H2Hs, 0% of 22 DUs)

Week 4: 139.50 Points. 81% Win Rate (77.9% of 104 H2Hs, 100% of 17 DUs)

Week 5: 143.68 Points. 31.1% Win Rate (35.9% of 103 H2Hs, 0% of 16 DUs)

Week 6: 138.12 Points. 32.45% Win Rate (35.9% of 103 H2Hs, 0% of 11 DUs)

Week 7: 199.40 Points.  37.5% Win Rate (32.5 % H2Hs, 91.6% of 12 DUs)

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