DraftKings CASH POOL | NFL Week 7

NFL Week 7 Cash Pool: Below are the players that I consider to be viable plays on DraftKings in Cash Games (H2H, Double-Ups, 50/50s). This article is updated throughout the weekend with a final update at 12:00 PM EST on Sunday to account for surprise inactives and late-week news.

Updates:

In: Tyler Boyd, Giovani Bernard, Jamaal Williams, Tre’Quan Smith, David Njoku   

Out: Aaron Jones, Justin Jackson, Tee Higgins, Austin Hooper, Demarcus Robinson   

QB

Kyler Murray ($7,100): The spot couldn’t be better for fantasy football’s QB1 through six weeks. After dismantling the Dak Prescott-less Cowboys last week, Arizona will host Seattle in a game that was flexed to Sunday Night Football, but miraculously remains on the main slate. Murray has quietly become the best rushing quarterback in the league this year and draws a plus matchup against The Seahawks. Seattle is allowing the sixth most rushing yards to QB per-game, third must rushing TDs to QB per-game, and second most fantasy points to opposing QBs per-game. Murray is averaging 8.5 att/pg and has scored 6 touchdowns on the ground through six weeks. He’s scored a minimum of 24-points in every game this year and should be a priority in cash games.

Joe Burrow ($5,500): It’s been understated how impressive Joe Burrow’s numbers have been to start the year. Playing in an offense that generates a high number of plays, Burrow is averaging 41 att/pg and has managed to throw for 300 or more yards in 4/6 first NFL games. Burrow offers salary relief and is one of the best >$6,000 QB plays we’ve had on DraftKings so far this year.

QB Positional Notes: I expect both Matthew Stafford ($6,500) and Justin Herbert ($6,400) to garner a decent amount of cash game ownership. As raw plays, I don’t mind either. In the context of the slate and the position, I see absolutely no reason not to find the extra $600-$700 to upgrade to Kyler Murray. His floor-ceiling combo is too great to ignore, especially in a matchup against a high-powered offense like Seattle that can force the game to shootout.       

RB

Alvin Kamara ($7,900): Michael Thomas has been ruled out, leaving Alvin Kamara in place as the undisputed top option in The Saints passing attack. Averaging 9 targets per-game and on pace for an incredible 122 reception season, Kamara should feast on a Carolina defense that is allowing the most rec/pg to opposing backs this season. As -7.5 home favorites with a top three implied team total on the slate (29.25), Kamara is the #1 RB play this week.  

Kareem Hunt ($6,800): In the two games that Kareem Hunt has started since Nick Chubb went down with a knee injury, he’s averaged 61.5% of snaps and 19-touches/pg. After facing consecutive tough matchups against IND and PIT, Hunt should have more room to run against a Bengals team that has allowed the fifth most rushing yards/pg to opposing backs (119.3). Hunt’s best game of 2020 came against this same Cincinnati team in Week 2.  

Chris Carson ($6,400): An underrated play this week, Chris Carson should continue to flourish as a high-floor/high-ceiling option at the RB position. His new-found role in the passing game, combined with his propensity for touchdown scoring in an elite offense, makes him a truly game flow independent running back. Carson is averaging 4.6 targets/pg and has at least 3 receptions in every game so far. He’s scoring 1.2 TDs/pg and has a good chance to find pay dirt again with The Seahawks boasting a 29.75 ITT, second highest on the slate.  

Giovani Bernard ($4,500): Joe Mixon has been ruled out of Week 7 pushing The Mustached Maven, Giovani Bernard, squarely into cash game consideration. It’s been nearly 2-years since Bernard got the opportunity to handle the bulk of backfield touches and looking at what he did before the arrivals of Zac Taylor and Joe Burrow would hardly be helpful. My expectation is for Gio to see roughly 70% of snaps, with Samaje Perine and Trayveon Williams splitting the other 30%. Even with Joe Mixon healthy, Bernard had a solid receiving floor, catching 3 or more passes in 4/6 games to start the year. He will be massively owned in cash games this week.

Jamaal Williams ($4,000): A must-play in DraftKings cash games, Jamaal Williams should handle the majority of The Packers RB touches in Week 7. AJ Dillon aka ‘The Big Pup,’ will see an expanded role, but Williams is the preferred option for DFS. Williams has out-snapped Dillon 149:25 through Green Bay’s first five games and Williams is an accomplished pass catching back who has earned Aaron Rodgers’ trust. Due to game total and scoring environment, Williams should be the primary value RB in cash games this week.

RB Positional Notes: The Week 7 slate got a major shakeup on Friday with news that Joe Mixon will be out and Aaron Jones is a true game-time decision. Until we learn about Jones’ status, optimal lineup construction for cash games will be unknown. As it stands, Giovani Bernard is a tough fade due to his price and likely massive cash game ownership. He will be easier to get away from if Jamaal Williams ($4,000) opens up as a viable play. Either way, the question marks surrounding Jones will make him nearly impossible to play in cash as he will likely, be limited at best. Alvin Kamara is a must play this week. UPDATE: Aaron Jones is out, and Jamaal Williams is officially a priority play. If I am choosing between Williams and Bernard for cash, I will be choosing Williams.  

WR

DeAndre Hopkins ($8,200): With 32-more targets than the next closest Arizona pass-catcher, DeAndre Hopkins is an absolute smash play this week. He’s leading the NFL in receptions (47), yards (601), and has scored the third most FPPG at WR this year (19.9). The Seahawks are the worst team in the league at limiting opposing WRs by a wide-margin and Hopkins should have no trouble producing in the week’s second highest totaled game (56). His price borders on prohibitive, but with value continuing to open up on this slate, he may become a more viable play by Sunday.

Kenny Golladay ($6,700): Despite seeing only 6 targets in last week’s matchup vs. Jacksonville, Kenny Golladay profiles as a fantastic play for the second straight week. The Falcons depleted secondary has allowed the fifth most FPPG to WR and Golladay has shown a 16-point floor through his three games played in 2020. Since returning from injury, Golladay has commanded 23% of Matthew Stafford’s targets.    

Keenan Allen ($6,200): In the three weeks prior to his Week 5 injury, Keenan Allen saw an average of 13.3 targets/pg and draws a plus matchup in The Chargers first home game since September. A well-timed bye week has given Allen enough time to get healthy and all indications are that he will be a full-go for Sunday’s matchup vs. Jacksonville. The Chargers have a healthy implied team total of 28.25.

Terry McLaurin ($5,800): Quite possibly the best pt/$ play on the slate, Terry McLaurin is poised for success against a Dallas secondary allowing the third most FPPG to opposing WRs. F1’s elite 2020 usage has been eye-popping: fifth most targets (58), fourth highest percentage of team targets (27.4%) and second largest share of team air-yards in the league (42.1%). Scary Terry is the biggest lock of the week.  

Tyler Boyd ($5,400): Despite solid production, Tyler Boyd’s price on DraftKings has fallen in four consecutive weeks and The Bengals target leader (48) is looking like a solid mid-range value. Boyd has 8 or more targets in 4/5 games and gets a top-5 matchup against a Cleveland defense that has consistently struggled to contain opposing WRs.

Diontae Johnson ($4,200): Five different Pittsburgh pass catchers have seen between 24-28 targets from Big Ben to start 2020. Diontae Johnson saw 23 of his 26 targets in the first two weeks of the season and has struggled to stay healthy since. His depressed price tag makes him a stand out play, but I would advise caution in cash games. With concerns ranging from Roethlisberger’s road splits, to risk of re-injury, to a potentially uncertain target share following the emergence of Chase Claypool, Johnson is not a sure-fire play in Week 7 despite the appealing price.

Tre’Quan Smith ($4,000): With Michael Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders both ruled out, Tre’Quan Smith is in position to handle WR1 duties for The Saints in Week 7. Smith has been an inconsistent player for years, but has flashed upside at various times in his three-year career. The Panthers defense has been surprisingly stout against opposing WRs, allowing the fourth-least FPPG to the position. Even in a tough matchup, Smith will project as one of the best values on the slate with upside to see a season-high in targets this week.    

WR Positional Notes: Depending on how much viable RB value opens up, we may find ourselves with enough salary for an extreme amount of flexibility at the WR position. That being said, WR value is not in short supply either. I prefer Tre’Quan Smith to Diontae Johnson for salary relief at the position. Terry McLaurin and Keenan Allen are the two best plays in the mid-range.     

TE

Hunter Henry ($4,500): Second on The Chargers in targets since Justin Herbert took over, Hunter Henry will be an extremely popular play on DraftKings this week. He’s seen 7 or more targets in 4/5 games this year and scored 10 or more fantasy points in every game but one. The Jaguars have allowed the 8th most FPPG to TEs this year and will be without stud LB Myles Jack.

David Njoku ($3,000): Austin Hooper will miss time after a surprise appendectomy on Friday. Since returning from injury, David Njoku has played nearly the same amount of snaps as rookie TE Harrison Bryant. Njoku has been vocal about his desire to be traded and will have his best opportunity of the season to prove his worth to potentially interested teams. Cincinnati has allowed the fifth most receptions/pg to TE and given up the 7th most FPPG to the position as well.  

TE Positional Notes: Hunter Henry is a safe option in the mid-range and my favorite play in a tier of players that consists of Fant, Smith, Hockenson, and Hurst. David Njoku has a low floor, but his dirt-cheap price tag and projected increased role in a positive matchup offsets the risk to a certain extent. Choosing between these options will be a matter of willingness to embrace risk.    

Priority Plays: Kyler Murray, Alvin Kamara, Keenan Allen, Terry McLaurin, Jamaal Williams

Fades: Matthew Stafford, Justin Herbert, Christian Kirk, Diontae Johnson, Gabriel Davis

Cash Game Results 2020:

Week 1: 185.1 Points. 87% Win Rate (83.3% of 78 H2Hs, 100% of 22 DUs)

Week 2: 161.9 Points. 91.3% Win Rate (90.3% of 103 H2Hs, 100% of 12 DUs)

Week 3: 112.1 Points. 17.7% Win Rate (21% of 119 H2Hs, 0% of 22 DUs)

Week 4: 139.50 Points. 81% Win Rate (77.9% of 104 H2Hs, 100% of 17 DUs)

Week 5: 143.68 Points. 31.1% Win Rate (35.9% of 103 H2Hs, 0% of 16 DUs)

Week 6: 138.12 Points. 32.45% Win Rate (35.9% of 103 H2Hs, 0% of 11 DUs)

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