DRAFTKINGS CASH POOL: NFL Week 5 DFS CASH GAME Picks

NFL Week 5 Cash Pool: Below are the players that I consider to be viable plays on DraftKings in Cash Games (H2H, Double-Ups, 50/50s). This article is updated throughout the weekend with a final update at 12:00 PM EST on Sunday to account for surprise inactives and late-week news.

QB

Patrick Mahomes ($7,700): The multifaceted Chiefs offense is expected to face minimal resistance as they host a Raiders team that they have dominated in recent years. In the last four matchups between these teams since 2018, The Chiefs have averaged 35.75 points-per-game. Patrick Mahomes is one of the safest bets on this slate to ‘hit value,’ but roster construction may prohibit us from jamming in the half-billion dollar man.   

Dak Prescott ($7,400): Through the first quarter of the season, Dak Prescott is on pace to be the highest scoring fantasy player of all time. As home favorites by -9.5 points, this is theoretically a spot where Dallas could try and take its foot of the gas and rely more heavily on Ezekiel Elliot. However, The Cowboys defense is so egregiously bad; even a team that hasn’t thrown a touchdown in 3 weeks (NYG) is a legitimate threat to force this game into a tightly contested back-and-fourth shootout. Prescott is a rock-solid play in all formats.

Teddy Bridgewater ($5,900): Teddy Bridgewater is coming to Atlanta like an executioner while Dan Quinn and The Falcons defense are helplessly strapped to the guillotine. After allowing four consecutive top-5 QB finishes to start the year, The Falcons will host The Panthers with five starting defensive backs out or highly questionable to play in Week 5. Stout against the run and abysmal against the pass, Teddy Two-Gloves might be the best quarterback value on the slate.      

Daniel Jones ($5,400): Daniel Jones hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1. He’s averaging 10.3 FPPG over his last three matchups and hasn’t scored over 20-points yet in 2020. Despite the inconsistencies, Danny Dimes will be in good position to bounce back against Dallas. The Cowboys offense is prolific and will force The Giants to be aggressive in a projected game-script that will have them playing catch up. Jones is averaging 34.25 rushing yards per-game which boosts his floor in cash games.

QB Positional Notes: In an ideal world, we could jam Mahomes or Prescott into our cash lines this week and confidently sit back to watch as the points rolled in. Unfortunately, it appears that the optimal move will be to find some salary relief at QB this week and that means getting down >$6,000. I prefer to Teddy Bridgewater over Daniel Jones by a fair amount. Jones is more of a tournament type QB with a high-ceiling and lower-floor, but the savings make a big difference this week, especially if paying up for TE is a priority this week. Hopefully, a decent percentage of the field will make the Kyle Allen mistake.  

RB

Ezekiel Elliot ($7,800): Ezekiel Elliot will be a top tier play in cash games for the second week in a row. His 20-touch floor and expanded role in Dallas’ prolific passing attack (7.5 targets per-game,) makes him the safest running back on the Week 5 slate. The New York Giants defense should not be expected to over-perform the way they did against The Rams last week. Elliot has a good chance to produce his best fantasy performance of the year (so far) as the lead back for a -9.5 point home favorite in a week The Cowboys have a 31.75 implied team total.  

Cylde Edwards-Helaire ($6,800): Any home running back on a team with an implied total of 34.75 that is a -13 point favorite would have to be in cash game consideration. If that running back is also a dynamic dual threat player that is heavily utilized in scoring position and is in a favorable matchup; than he is a cash game lock. A better spot couldn’t be scripted for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. CEH has quickly established himself in The Chiefs’ offense, averaging 21.3 touches per-game in the first quarter of the season. In Week 4, he saw a season-high 73% of snaps. He’s had 15 red zone attempts, tied for fifth most in the league. Positive touchdown regression is bound to begin hitting the talented first round rookie, potentially, as soon as this week.        

Kareem Hunt ($6,500): Figuring out how to handle Kareem Hunt will be the most difficult decision point for Week 5. One of the top 10 most talented running backs in the league, Nick Chubb’s injury immediately catapults Hunt into the RB1 conversation. Or does it? In Week 4, D’Ernest Johnson touched the ball more than Kareem Hunt did following Chubb’s exit (13:11). Still, Hunt’s utilization in the red zone is enticing as he’s seen 17 RZ opportunities in just four weeks. This is a situation where we have to step back and ask ourselves if Kareem Hunt getting 20+ touches in this spot is something that will happen, or something we want to happen. There is enough uncertainty here that I wouldn’t fault anyone for relegating their Kareem Hunt exposure to tournaments only.

Mike Davis ($6,400): Despite Reggie Bonnafon’s Week 4 involvement, Mike Davis remains squarely in play against a Falcons defense that has allowed the second most receptions to RB in 2020. Averaging 7.7 targets per-game since Week 2 and playing on nearly 75% of snaps, Davis has an extremely high-floor in an offensive scheme that was built to feature a pass-catching RB.   

Antonio Gibson ($5,000): The dynamic rookie runner set a career high with 17-touches in Week 4. He’s averaged 4-targets over his last two games and has scored a touchdown in three consecutive weeks. Kyle Allen will get the start in Washington this week and may look to dump the ball off at a higher rate than Haskins did, something we saw him do often with Christian McCaffrey in Carolina. Gibson is not without his red flags. It’s hard to stomach the idea of playing a RB in cash that can realistically see under 50% of snaps in a given week. Gibson’s floor is much lower than Davis’ or Hunt’s, but the salary savings could make a big difference if you are willing to embrace that risk.    

RB Positional Notes: Ezekiel Elliot and Clyde Edwards-Helaire are clear cut cash game locks. Figuring out who the third cash RB is in Week 5 is not an easy task. Mike Davis is the obvious answer and will likely be the most popular. Kareem Hunt for only $100 more in a Nick Chubb-less Cleveland offense is hard to get away from. Antonio Gibson has the lowest floor and is the worst play of the bunch, but offers some truly interesting roster flexibility – including the possibility of playing both a <$7,000 QB and George Kittle in cash.   

WR

Amari Cooper ($7,400): Dak Prescott has spread the ball out to a wide-range of players to start the year. CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup, Dalton Schultz, even Cedrick Wilson on occasion. Still, Amari Cooper is the clear-cut alpha in the league’s most talented offense. Cooper leads the NFL in targets (12.75 per-game) and he is second in receptions (37). Until he is priced above $8,000 on DraftKings, the argument that he is underpriced for his role will be a solid one.

Robby Anderson ($5,900): Offseason take-lock will prevent some people from realizing what Matt Rhule’s play calling through four weeks has shown us. Robby Anderson is The Panthers WR1. Anderson leads the teams in targets, receptions, and yards. The Falcons defense is allowing deep completions (20+ yards) to WR at a league high rate. DJ Moore is a solid play as well, but Anderson has a better role, and a better price. This is a no-brainer.

Darius Slayton ($4,800): The public is understandably skeptical of any and all fantasy assets associated with The New York Giants. However, this is no time for fear. This is time for glory. In Week 5, Goatius finds himself in prime position to feast on the undermanned Cowboys secondary. Dallas has allowed a 100-yard receiver in three of their four games and the time that they didn’t; they allowed Odell Beckham Jr. to accumulate over 100 total yards and three touchdowns. Commanding a dominant 38% market share of NY’s air-yards and averaging 7 targets per-game, Goatius is poised for a monster performance. The #brand depends on it.   

Olamide Zaccheaus ($3,000): Following three consecutive DNPs, Julio Jones is unlikely to play in Week 5. Jones only played in two of the last eight quarters of game action, and Olamide Zaccheaus has been productive in that span. Zaccheaus played in over 75% of snaps over the last two weeks and led Atlanta in targets in Week 4. He’s managed to haul in 12 of his 15 targets in that span and is a tremendous value at min price on DraftKings.

WR Positional Notes: The potential for a cheap WR to produce similarly to the higher priced options is much greater than what we can expect at other positions. With solid options like Robby Anderson and Darius Slayton having realistic chances for 7-10 targets in good matchups, this will be another week where the need to look above $6,000 in cash simply doesn’t exist.       

TE

George Kittle ($6,600): It’s hard to find a tight end with a high-floor and a high-ceiling. Coming off of a career performance (15-183-1) in Week 4, George Kittle is just that. Unfazed by the knee injury that kept him out of play for two weeks, Kittle returned to play on 98% of snaps and is at the top of a short list of tight ends worth paying up for in DFS.  Jimmy Garoppolo is slated to return this week, which only bodes well for Kittle and The 49ers offense.   

Darren Waller ($5,900): Waller has been the lone bright spot for The Vegas Raiders passing attack in 2020. He leads the position with 40 targets through 4-weeks and could see elevated usage in a game where Oakland finds itself a -13 point underdog against Kansas City.

Evan Engram ($4,600): Coming off of a 10-target performance in Week 4, Evan Engram has some appeal as a mid-range TE with a sub-5k price tag. For the same reasons that Daniel Jones and Darius Slayton have boosted Week 5 projections, Engram could have his biggest game of the year against The Cowboys inviting defense.  

TE Positional Notes: I’ll be honest. I’m sick of taking L’s at the TE position week after week. I’ll never back the money I burned by playing Logan Thomas at a 50% clip in cash through 4-weeks of the season. With a distinct lack of value at the position this week, it makes a lot of sense to spend the money for George Kittle, whose price fails to account for the monstrous Sunday night effort he produced after DK prices had already been released. Enough is enough. Let’s build some upside into the position most players settle for floor with.    

Priority Plays: Ezekiel Elliot, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, George Kittle, Darius Slayton     

Fades: Kyle Allen, Amari Cooper, DJ Moore   

Cash Game Results 2020:

Week 1: 185.1 Points. 87% Win Rate (83.3% of 78 H2Hs, 100% of 22 DUs)

Week 2: 161.9 Points. 91.3% Win Rate (90.3% of 103 H2Hs, 100% of 12 DUs)

Week 3: 112.1 Points. 17.7% Win Rate (21% of 119 H2Hs, 0% of 22 DUs)

Week 4: 139.50 Points. 81% Win Rate (77.9% of 104 H2Hs, 100% of 17 DUs)

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